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Ajax v Celtic betting preview

November 5th, 2013

Celtic travel to Amsterdam to face Ajax on Wednesday in a game televised on Sky Sport 4 from 7.45 pm.

The Dutch champions have just one point from their opening three Group H games from a 1-1 home draw with Milan, while Celtic have three points courtesy of their 2-1 win in the reverse fixture in Glasgow last month.

Both sides know that this is a must win game if they are to harbour any hopes of progressing to the last 16 and bookmakers think that Neil Lennon’s side will struggle at the Amsterdam Arena - they can be backed at odds as big as 19/5 with BetVictor. Ajax are available at best odds of 5/6 with Paddy Power, while the draw is 14/5 with Bet365.

While Ajax are themselves on a bad run of form, the fact that Celtic have lost 23 of their last 25 away games in the Champions League (W1,D1) offers up little hope for Bhoys supporters. Odds of 5/6 on the hosts represents a 55% chance of them winning, but given Celtic have lost 92% of those last 25 away games, it actually appears rather good value.

Celtic lost their last two European away fixtures 2-0 - to Milan in September and also to Shakhter Karagandy in the qualifying stages; in fact they also failed to score in the previous qualifying game away from home against Elfsborg (0-0) and so we fancy a couple of couple of home win correct scores ‘to nil’ in this one. You can back 1-0 at 15/2 with Coral, while a 2-0 home win is 9/1 with BetVictor.

With regards to goal scorers for the hosts, Kolbeinn Sigthorsson provides the most obvious threat. The talented Icelandic striker has helped his national side reach the World Cup play-offs with 5 goals in their last 5 World Cup qualifiers and he can be backed at generous odds of 13/2 to score first with Paddy Power (as short as 9/2 elsewhere). Back that each-way - Paddy Power offer 1/3 the odds for the ‘place’ in this market, if your player scores any of the first 5 goals in the game.

Finally, if you fancy a ‘scorecast’, why not place a couple of small stakes bets on Sigthorsson / Ajax 1-0 at 35/1 and Sigthorsson / Ajax 2-0 at 40/1 - both with BetVictor.

RECOMMENDED BETS
MARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Ajax 1X2
5/6
Paddy Power
Ajax 1-0 Correct Score
15/2
Coral
Ajax 2-0
Correct Score 9/1
BetVictor
Kolbeinn Sigthorsson (ew)
First Goalscorer
13/2
Paddy Power
Kolbeinn Sigthorsson / Ajax 1-0
Scorecast
35/1
BetVictor
Kolbeinn Sigthorsson / Ajax 2-0
Scorecast
40/1
BetVictor

Current Bookmaker Offers and Refunds

  • Goalscorer 2nd Chance: Refund of losing First Goalscorer bets, as a free bet up to £50, if your player scores the second goal - with William Hill

  • Bore Draw: Refund of ALL losing Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time and Scorecast bets on ANY football match that finishes 0-0 - with Bet365

  • Channel 4/1 offer - Back a winner at 4/1 or more in a race televised live on Channel 4 and get a free bet of the same stake on the next televised race. If your free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you also qualify for a free bet on the next televised race and so on - with Bet365

  • Premier League Late Loser Insurance: Refund of losing Correct Score & Scorecast bets, up to £25, if the bet is winning at the 85th minute - with Coral

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