Man City v Arsenal betting
Premier League leaders Arsenal travel to Premier League favourites Manchester City on Saturday in a crucial game in this season’s very open title race.
City are six points behind Arsenal in the table solely because of their poor away league record (W2, D2, L4), but they have a 100% league record at the Etihad Stadium this season, winning all seven home games and scoring 29 goals in the process.
However, Arsenal have only lost once away from home in the league this season - though that was in Manchester, to United.
Both sides have qualified for the last 16 of the Champions League, although their midweek performances were is stark contrast, with Arsenal losing 2-0 to Napoli, while City beat European Champions Bayern Munich 3-2 - so Manuel Pellegrini’s side will be confident of closing the gap on the Gunners.
Bookmakers agree and City are best odds of 5/6 with Paddy Power, while the draw can be backed at 3/1 and Arsenal at 7/2 - both with Bet365.
While the bookies also expect goals in this game (‘over 2.5 goals’ can be backed at odds of just 8/13 generally), it’s worth noting that the last six games between these sides in all competitions have seen a total of just seven goals and thus a bet on ‘under 2.5 goals’ looks the better option at best odds of 7/5 with BetVictor.
Another thing to note about recent meetings between these sides is that there have been six red cards in their last six Premier League games, so a bet on another on Saturday at odds of 5/2 with Ladbrokes or William Hill looks reasonable.
Sergio Aguero has scored 18 goals in 19 games this season and is the obvious choice to open the scoring at best odds of 5/1 with Bet365. You can back that each-way with Bet365, who pay 1/3 odds for the ‘place’ in this market, if your player scores at any time.
Former Arsenal player Samir Nasri will be itching to score given the acrimonious nature of his departure and the bad blood between him and Arsenal supporters ever since. The Frenchman can be backed at tempting odds of 11/1 to score first with Bet365.
Finally, it's worth noting that if Olivier Giroud scores in this game, Paddy Power will refund all losing First Goalscorer, Anytime Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast bets.
|Under||Over/Under 2.5 Goals
|Segio Aguero (ew)
|Samir Nasri (ew)||First Goalscorer||11/1||Bet365|