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Arsenal v Spurs betting preview

January 2nd, 2014

Arsenal host fierce local rivals Tottenham in the third round of the FA Cup on Saturday - a game televised live on ITV1 from 5.15pm.

Arsene Wenger's side haven't won any silverware since lifting the FA Cup in 2005 and they can be backed at odds of 9/1 (generally) to repeat the feat 9 seasons later.

Spurs haven't reached an FA Cup Final since they last won the trophy in 1991 and they are available at best odds of 16/1 (Coral, Paddy Power & William Hill) to win this season.

As far as this match at the Emirates Stadium is concerned, Arsenal are favourites at odds of 21/20 with Bet365, who offer Tottenham at 14/5 and the draw at 13/5.

The Gunners are currently top of the Premier League, while Spurs are eight point behind in sixth spot - but arrive on the back of a morale boosting win over Manchester United at Old Trafford on New Year's Day.

Indeed, Tottenham's away record has been decent this season with 7 wins in 10 away league games (D1, L2) - which is very similar to Arsenal's home record (W7, D2, L1). But Spurs haven't found it easy visiting the Emirates Stadium, winning just once in 10 visits - and that 3-2 win in November 2011 was their only away win over Arsenal in 20 seasons.

What we are usually assured of in these North London derbies is goals. This season's league fixture at the Emirates (won 1-0 by Arsenal in September) was an exception, but the previous 8 games (and 16 of the previous 18) between the sides saw both teams score.

You can bet that both teams score on Saturday at 8/13 with Ladbrokes, who also offer 8/11 on 'over 2.5 goals' in the game - which has happened in 6 of their last 7 meetings. But given that 4 of those 7 matches saw 4 goals or more, we'd prefer a bet on 'over 3.5 goals' at 7/4 with Ladbrokes - especially given that Tim Sherwood's style is more adventurous than that of Andre Villas Boas.

A resurgent Emmanuel Adebayor scored the opening goal against United on Wednesday and despite being carried off on a stretcher, is hopeful of starting against his old club on Saturday. It's worth noting that he scored on both of his starts for Spurs at the Emirates (albeit both resulting in 5-2 wins for Arsenal) and he's 8/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring and a generous looking 3/1 with Betfred to score at any time in the game.

With Mesut Ozil, Aaron Ramsey, Olivier Giroud and Nicklas Bendtner all ruled out or doubtful for the hosts, they will look to Theo Walcott to spearhead their attack - he scored in both of those 5-2 wins (twice in the first) and is 11/2 with Paddy Power to open the scoring. Incidentally, another 5-2 Arsenal win can be backed at 125/1 with Paddy Power.

Finally, it's worth noting that Paddy Power are offering to refund all losing First / Last Goalscorer, Correct Score and Scorecast bets, if this match finishes as a draw.

RECOMMENDED BETS
MARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Over Over/Under 3.5 Goals
7/4
Ladbrokes
Emmanuel Adebayor Anytime Goalscorer 3/1 Betfred
Theo Walcott
First Goalscorer
11/2
Paddy Power*

*Money-back if the game finishes as a draw.

Current Bookmaker Offers and Refunds

  • Goalscorer 2nd Chance: Refund of losing First Goalscorer bets, as a free bet up to £50, if your player scores the second goal - with William Hill

  • Bore Draw: Refund of ALL losing Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time and Scorecast bets on ANY football match that finishes 0-0 - with Bet365

  • Channel 4/1 offer - Back a winner at 4/1 or more in a race televised live on Channel 4 and get a free bet of the same stake on the next televised race. If your free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you also qualify for a free bet on the next televised race and so on - with Bet365

  • Premier League Late Loser Insurance: Refund of losing Correct Score & Scorecast bets, up to £25, if the bet is winning at the 85th minute - with Coral

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