Man Utd v Sunderland betting
Sunderland head to Old Trafford on Thursday night holding a 2-1 advantage ahead of their Capital One Cup semi-final second leg against Manchester United.
Gus Poyet's side can be backed at 15/8 with Sky Bet to secure a place in the final, while United are available at best odds of 4/9 with Paddy Power to make it to Wembley.
Many are expecting an all-Manchester final, with City having already secured their spot, but David Moyes will be far from confident given that his United side have lost 4 of their last 7 home games in all competitions.
Nonetheless, United are no bigger than 4/11 in the 90 minute betting, with Sunderland available at 10/1 with Betfred and the draw (which would take Sunderland to Wembley) at 9/2 with Bet365. Sunderland would also qualify on away goals if they lose this game 3-2, 4-3, 5-4 etc - after extra time.
Sunderland have only won two of their last 25 meetings with United in all competitions (D5, L18) and while both of these victories have come in the League Cup neither were at Old Trafford, where they haven't won since 1968 (D9, L16).
It's also worth noting that 8 of the last 9 teams to win the first-leg of a League Cup semi-final 2-1 at home have been eliminated in the away leg - so the stats don't bode well for the visitors. Those odds of 4/9 on United qualifying represent almost a 70% chance that they will do so and that doesn't look unreasonable.
United won the league fixture between these sides (at The Stadium of Light) 2-1 with both goals scored by Adnan Januzaj and the young Belgium player can be backed at decent odds of 7/1 to score first on Wednesday. You can back him each-way in that market with Bet365, who offer 1/3 the odds for the 'place' - if he scores at any time in the game.
At the prices, we also recommend a bet on Antonio Valencia to open the scoring at a massive 13/1 with 888sport - he's as short as 5/1 with Betfred.
If the visitors are to score, then that goal could come from Adam Johnson, who has either scored or provided the assist for 9 of Sunderland’s last 11 goals in all competitions. The former Manchester City star is 18/1 with Bet365 to opening the scoring, but we prefer the stand-out 13/2 with 888sport on him scoring at any time (as short as 4/1 elsewhere).
|Manchester United||To Qualify
|Adnan Januzaj (ew)
|Antonio Valencia||First Goalscorer
|Adam Johnson||Anytime Goalscorer