York Ebor Festival Day 4 Tips
The headline race of York’s four day festival, The Ebor, is the main event on another busy of action today, spread across four flat meetings and one over jumps.
Betfred Ebor (Heritage Handicap)
It is easy to give a chance to well over half the field in the big race and whilst favourite Pallasator deserves his place at the head of the market he looks plenty short enough given the quality of the opposition.
Finding a strong stayer will be key and now that the ground has started to dry out bottom weight Mighty Yar must have a big chance for Lady Cecil. His effort at the track last time out suggested he needs this longer trip and he has a decent turnaround in the handicap with another fancied runner, De Rigueur, who beat him at Newmarket two starts back. He is a big horse, so he is probably taking time to mature and could be improving fast.
Irish raiders Ted Veale and Mutual Regard are also both interesting. The former won over fences recently and was fourth in this race last year on unsuitably soft ground. Slight preference, though, is for Mutual Regard as the form of his recent races is working out really well.
He was third to yesterday’s impressive winner, Pale Mimosa, last time out whilst prior to that he beat Edge Of Sanity, who won here on Wednesday. He will love the ground as is a very stronger stayer who has won over 2 miles.
Clever Cookie, Great Hall and Elidor were all on the shortlist, but two outsiders to look at are Sir Walter Scott and Aussie Reigns.
The former is very unexposed with only three starts to date. His inexperience could count against him, but his yard is in terrific form. He ran well in a Listed race on his first start for Luca Cumani at Newbury recently and will be better suited by trip and ground today.
However, at a monster price we are going to suggest having a few quid each way on Aussie Reigns, who can be backed at 50/1 with the race sponsors Betfred. If you dont have an account with Betfred, then open one here and they will double the odds of your first bet.
He keeps getting placed without winning, but is often staying on at the death in his races, so he maybe needs this longer trip. He is also well handicapped based on a decent efforts in a big handicap at Royal Ascot and a Group three at Goodwood, recently.
It is worth noting that whilst most bookmakers, including the sponsors, offer 4 places for each-way bets on this race, Bet365 are offering 5 places.
|Mighty Yar (ew)
|Mutual Regard (ew)
|Aussie Reigns (ew)
Betfred Melrose Handicap
The key to finding the winner of the Melrose is to identify a three year old that will relish the step up in trip and we think this Captain Morley fits the bill. He has plenty of stamina in his pedigree and the form he has shown suggests the further he goes the better he will be.
Of the outsiders, Michael Bell’s pair of Mantou and Fiery Sunset are interesting, but our main selection could have most to worry from Rocket Ship, who is improving fast.
|Captain Morley (ew)
||2.40 York||8/1||Bet365 & Betfred
|Rocket Ship (ew)
The day’s other feature race is the Gimcrack and we are going to take a chance with Glenalmond. Karl Burke had a two year old run a massive race at a big price earlier in the week and we hope this horse can follow suit. He travelled like a good horse when winning on his debut and is highly regarded by his in-form stable.
|Glenalmond (ew)||3.15 York||20/1||Bet365|
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