US Open 2014 betting tips
With Rafael Nadal unable to defend his title because of a wrist injury, Novak Djokovic is once again the favourite to win the US Open and the Serb is understandably a shorter price than he was ahead of last year’s tournament.
Nadal landed odds of 11/4 when he won for the second time at Flushing Meadows 12 months ago, when Djokovic began the fortnight as the 15/8 favourite. With Nadal out of the equation and Andy Murray, the 2012 champion, struggling to regain the form he showed prior to his back surgery last September, the way should be clear for Djokovic to win a second title in New York.
However, Djokovic has had his troubles too in preparation for this tournament, suffering back-to-back second round defeats since winning Wimbledon in July. So regaining the US Open crown he last won three years ago may not be so straightforward. He was well beaten by Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in Toronto three weeks ago and then suffered a shock loss to Tommy Robredo in Cincinnati.
Those are the sort of mistakes you don’t usually associate with Djokovic and they may be enough to make punters wary, even at Betfred’s best odds of 6/4. His losing record in finals at Flushing Meadows is another negative - he has been runner-up here four times.
Federer is the number two seed and so could meet Djokovic in the final, just as he did at Wimbledon last month. Now 33, the Swiss star has won only one Grand Slam title since turning 30 and even at an event he won five times in a row between 2004 and 2008 he does not represent value at best odds of 11/4 (BetVictor, Paddy Power & Coral). It’s now five years since he reached his last final here.
Murray’s record of 14 losses in 48 matches this season is poor for a top level talent and if you’re thinking of backing him to claim a second title here it’s worth noting that he has yet to beat a top 10 player in 2014 - which shows how far away from his best he currently is.
The Scot, currently ranked ninth but seeded eighth thanks to Nadal’s absence, was beaten in straight sets by Federer in Cincinnati and in three by Tsonga in Toronto. His best result of this season came on this surface back in February, when he beat the 11th-ranked Tsonga 6-4 6-1 in Miami.
Murray was an 11/4 shot for this championship a year ago, but you can get odds of 8/1 with Betfred and Paddy Power this time around.
One of the men to benefit most from Murray’s tumble down the rankings is Stan Wawrinka, who finally realised his potential when he beat both Djokovic and Nadal on his way to winning the Australian Open in January. His rise to third seed gives him a softer route through to the latter stages of the draw than he usually enjoys and he could certainly capitalise on any slip-up from the top two.
Wawrinka beat compatriot Federer in the final of the Monte Carlo Masters in April and gave him a tough time in the quarters at Wimbledon and finally looks like he believes he belongs among the best. At best odds of 14/1 he looks a good each-way chance.
Tsonga can be frustratingly inconsistent, but he showed his class when he beat Djokovic, Murray, Grigor Dimitrov and Federer - all top 10 players - to win in Toronto and the powerful Frenchman will feel he is better prepared than ever for a shot at this title, even though his best run here was to the last eight three years ago.
In the same section of the draw as Murray and on a course to meet Djokovic in the semis, Tsonga is a 25/1 chance with Betfred and William Hill.
Five-time winner Serena Williams has beaten Viktoria Azarenka in the last two finals and is best price 13/8 (Ladbrokes) to win again this year. Serena has won titles in both Stanford and Cincinnati in recent weeks and will take some stopping at Flushing Meadows.
Agnieszka Radwanska, the fourth seed who won the Rogers Cup on this surface three weeks ago and the hardcourt event at Indian Wells earlier in the season, is perhaps the pick of the each-way bets as she cannot meet Serena until the final. She beat Simona Halep - a potential semi-final opponent - in straight sets at Indian Wells. Bet365 and Betfred both offer the Pole at odds of 20/1.
Although they dont offer the best odds on any of our selections, it is worth noting that Ladbrokes are offering to refund losing bets on both the Men's and Women's singles tournaments, as a free bet (up to £25), if your player loses in the Final.
Meanwhile, Betfred are currently offering new customers Double Odds on their first bet - so open an account with them today and you can get paid out at twice the odds quoted below.
||Men's Singles Winner||14/1||William Hill & Paddy Power|
||Men's Singles Winner
||25/1||William Hill & Betfred|
||Women's Singles Winner
||20/1||Bet365 & Betfred|
|Bet365||Betfred||Ladbrokes||Paddy Power||William Hill|
|£200 free bets||Double Odds||£100 free bet||£50 free bet
||£25 free bet
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