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Southampton v Man City tips

November 29th, 2014

Southampton take on Manchester City at St Mary’s Stadium on Sunday and the game is live on SkySports 1 from 1.30pm.

Despite Saints being one spot ahead of City in the league table, it’s the visitors who are favourites, with the best price you'll get being 7/5 with Bet365 and William Hill, while Southampton are available at 23/10 with BetVictor and the draw at 5/2 with Bet365.

But we believe this is one of those rare occasions when the layers have got it the wrong way around, as Southampton, playing at home and in form, should in our minds be favourites to win here. As such our number one bet is to back Southampton (+0.5) on the Asian Handicap at 5/7 with BetVictor - so you win if they win or draw.

Southampton have won six and lost none of their latest eight league games, while City continue to concede goals and it will be fascinating to see how the Southampton defence - which have conceded the fewest shots on target in the Premier League (25) - cope with a City attack that have recorded the most number of shots on target (76).

It is no secret how much City have relied on Sergio Aguero this season and if he plays this will be his 100th Premier League game. The Argentinian has now scored 14 goals in his last 12 games for City in all competitions and simply must be backed to do so again. Take Bet365's 6/5 on him scoring at any time.

For the hosts, we suggest a bet on Graziano Pelle to score first. The Italian has already scored 6 goals in his first Premier League season and was named the league's player of the month for September - you can back him each-way at 13/2 to score first with Paddy Power, who pay 1/3 odds for the 'place' in this market - if your player scores at any time.

City have scored on their travels every time this season, and we therefore feel that backing both teams to score at 8/13 with Bet365 is a safe bet, while we also like odds of 13/2 with William Hill on a 1-1 scoreline and 11/1 with Bet365 on a 2-1 home win.

RECOMMENDED BETS
MARKETODDSBOOKMAKERS
Southampton (+0.5)
Asian Handicap 5/7
BetVictor
Graziano Pelle (ew)
First Goalscorer 13/2
Paddy Power
Sergio Aguero Anytime Goalscorer
6/5 Bet365
Yes
Both Teams To Score
8/13
Bet365
1-1
Correct Score
13/2 William Hill
Southampton 2-1
Correct Score
11/1 Bet365
Paddy PowerBetVictorBet365William Hill
£50 free bet £25 free bet £200 bonus £25 free bet

Current Bookmaker Offers and Refunds

  • Goalscorer 2nd Chance: Refund of losing First Goalscorer bets, as a free bet up to £50, if your player scores the second goal - with William Hill

  • Bore Draw: Refund of ALL losing Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time and Scorecast bets on ANY football match that finishes 0-0 - with Bet365

  • Channel 4/1 offer - Back a winner at 4/1 or more in a race televised live on Channel 4 and get a free bet of the same stake on the next televised race. If your free bet also wins at odds of 4/1 or more, you also qualify for a free bet on the next televised race and so on - with Bet365

  • Premier League Late Loser Insurance: Refund of losing Correct Score & Scorecast bets, up to £25, if the bet is winning at the 85th minute - with Coral

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