Man City v Newcastle tips
Manchester City host Newcastle on Saturday, live on SkySports 1 from 5.30pm.
Those prices are no surprise given that Newcastle have not beaten City in the Premier League since the 2005, losing 14 of their subsequent 16 meetings (D2) - and you have to go back to 2000 to find the last time Newcastle won away at City in the league.
But Manuel Pellegrini's men have not been as imperious at home this season as in recent year's, winning just 7 of 12 matches (D3, L2) - last season they won 17 of their 19 at the Etihad Stadium (D1, L1) scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game, while they have scored just 21 goals at home so far this season (1.75 per game).
And Newcastle did beat City here in the Capital One Cup back in October - that 2-0 win was their first ever victory at the Etihad.
Given City's below average performances here this season, we fancy backing the visitors on the Asian Handicap market with a 1.5 goal start at odds of 21/20 with Bet365 - meaning they would have to lose by 2 goals for you to lose on the wager - with a saver on a 2-0 home win at 13/2 with Bet365 (the last 4 games between these sides have finished 2-0).
We will also chance our arm and back Newcastle in the 'Draw No Bet' market, as the 9/1 that Bet365 are offering looks plenty big enough (they are as short as 11/2 elsewhere).
As for First Goalscorer betting, we have to be with the most likely away player at big odds. That man here is Papiss Cisse at 12/1 with William Hill. Cisse’s 74 minutes per goal is the best minutes per goal ratio of any player in the Premier League this season and Hills also refund losing First Goalscorer bets should your player score the second goal of the game - or if the game finishes 0-0.
Yaya Toure has a fine goal scoring record against Newcastle, with 5 goals in his last 6 league games against the Magpies. We suggest backing him at 7/1 with Coral (9/2 elsewhere) to score first, as well as at 7/4 with Betfred to score at any time in the game.
Most of Newcastle's goals have come in the second half this season (a divisional high 71%), and given that City too have scored 31 of their 51 league goals in the second half (61%), we strongly suggest backing the second half to have most goals at a best 11/10 with Ladbrokes (just 17/20 with William Hill).
|Newcastle (+1.5)||Asian Handicap||21/20||Bet365|
|Manchester City 2-0||Correct Score||13/2||Bet365*|
|Newcastle||Draw No Bet||9/1||Bet365|
|Pappis Cisse||First Goalscorer||12/1||William Hill**|
|Yaya Toure||First Goalscorer||7/1||Coral|
|Yaya Toure||Anytime Goalscorer||7/4||Betfred|
|Second Half||Highest Scoring Half||11/10||Ladbrokes|
*Money back on losing bets, if the game finishes 0-0
**Money back on losing bets, up to £50, if your player scores 2nd or the game finishes 0-0
||£30 free bet||£20 free bet
||£25 free bet||£25 free bet|